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The transition countries approach EU enlargement with GDP growth outperforming the 'old' EU. In 2003, Poland's economy resumed quite strong growth after two years of stagnation. Growth accelerated also in the Czech Republic, while it experienced some moderate slowdown in Romania, Bulgaria,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100039
output, construction, foreign trade and quarterly GDP figures confirm this development. The economic recovery in the 'old EU …, only Estonia and Lithuania currently meet all the Maastricht convergence criteria. A brief study of foreign trade data … reveals that in the Baltic States, foreign trade deficits are very high for goods even more so than for services. The NMS in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100044
outstanding feature of last year's economic developments was a boost in foreign trade (or of intra-EU dispatches and arrivals in … their aggregate trade balance slightly deteriorated (in fact foreign trade contributed positively to GDP growth in Poland … and 72% of imports represent intra-EU trade. Given the high (and rising) export surpluses of Russia and Ukraine - in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100050
in unit labour costs. Despite this (and despite growth being weaker than expected in the euro zone), NMS foreign trade … continues to perform excellently. Foreign trade has been even more instrumental in generating GDP growth in the first quarter of … 2005 than in the past. It should be pointed out, however, that NMS trade with the 'old' EU has grown at a relatively slower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100056
growth in Ukraine has been spectacular, reflecting weak investment demand and the deterioration of foreign trade. By and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100061
represents a strong piece of evidence of dominant currency pricing (DCP) in the international trade of services and suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266708
The paper investigates the extent to which the dollar/sterling exchange rate fluctuations affect coffee and cocoa futures prices on the London LIFFE and the New York CSCE by means of multivariate GARCH models - under the assumption that traders in perfectly competitive markets have equal access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928
Exchange rates have raised the ire of economists for more than 20 years. The problem is that few, if any, exchange rate models are known to systematically beat a naive random walk in out of sample forecasts. Engel and West (2005) show that these failures can be explained by the standard-present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292311
This study examines the nature of the linkages between stock market prices and exchange rates in six advanced economies, namely the US, the UK, Canada, Japan, the euro area, and Switzerland, using data on the banking crisis between 2007 and 2010. Bivariate GARCH-BEKK models are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292798
We analyze the performance of Bayesian model averaged exchange rate forecasts for euro/US dollar, euro/Japanese yen, euro/Swiss franc and euro/British pound rates using weights based on the out-of-sample predictive likelihood. The paper also presents a simple stratified sampling procedure in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293409