Showing 1 - 10 of 47
This paper investigates determinants of convergence in GDP per capita in the euro area and the EU between 1995 and 2021. It finds that the COVID-19 crisis temporarily slowed convergence but the estimated negative impact is significantly smaller than during the global financial crisis. Diverging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334683
poverty, arguing that highly lethal epidemics could reduce its prevalence through two deeply different mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669542
Measures to contain the Corona virus (COVID-19) may pay off in terms of slowing down proliferation. The proliferation trend in France and Germany now exceeds the one in Italy, South Korea and Japan. At the same time, the containment measures seem more intense in Italy, South Korea and Japan than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172417
epidemic hazard prediction, we use data from 2014-2019 to compute measures for exposure, vulnerability, and resilience of the … local economy to the shock of an epidemic. Using a battery of proxies for these four concepts, we calculate the hazard (the … zoonotic source of a possible epidemic), the principal components of exposure and vulnerability to it, and of the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179815
Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207832
We embed a lockdown choice in a simplified epidemiological model and derive formulas for the optimal lockdown intensity and duration. The optimal policy reflects the rate of time preference, epidemiological factors, the hazard rate of vaccine discovery, learning effects in the health care...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208005
Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208007
Measures to contain the Corona virus (COVID-19) may pay off in terms of slowing down proliferation. The proliferation trend in France and Germany now exceeds the one in Italy, South Korea and Japan. At the same time, the containment measures seem more intense in Italy, South Korea and Japan than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213538
during an epidemic? We study a setting where ICU resources are constrained while suppression is costly (e.g., limiting … suppression measures are continuously taken to hold down the spread throughout the epidemic, is suboptimal. Instead, the optimal … suppression is discountinuous. The epidemic should be left unregulated in a first phase and when the ICU constraint is approaching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227630
We derive a model in which firms operate in an epidemic environment and internalize infections among their employees in … the workplace. The model is calibrated to fit the properties of the Covid-19 epidemic. We show that firms have incentives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261872