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qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent inflation. The usefulness of monetary analysis is contrasted to weaknesses … in modeling monetary policy and inflation with respectively short-term interest rates and real activity measures. The … analysis sheds light on the recent change in inflation volatility and persistence as well as on the Phillips curve flattening …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604802
Following Fuhrer and Moore (1995), several authors have proposed alternative mechanisms to ‘hardwire’ inflation … European Monetary Union, of inflation-targeting countries, and of the new Swiss monetary policy regime, I show that, in the …), the parameters encoding the ‘intrinsic’ component of inflation persistence are not invariant across monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605084
inflation through the identification of turning points and structural shocks. After establishing the sought-after properties (of … smoothness, stability, and forecasting) for core inflation, we turn to the discussion of real-time diagnosis for a low inflation … environment. This is done in the context of weekly estimates of Swiss inflation. The intra-monthly estimates for core inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430053
with problems of measuring inflation in Gerrnany. This paper met with a lively response. The Research Group of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478854
The focus of this article is the analysis of the inflation risk of European real estate securities. Following both a … causal and a final understanding of risk, the analysis is twofold. First, to examine the causal influence of inflation on … Schwert (1977). Hedging capacities against expected inflation are found only for German open-end funds. Secondly, different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316279
This paper investigates persistence of Swiss consumer price inflation using aggregate and disaggregate inflation data … covering 1983-2008. We document that persistence of sectoral inflation rates is below persistence of aggregate inflation. Our … main finding is that inflation persistence significantly declines in the early 1990s. An estimated factor model reveals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285847
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
financed by money creation and to destabilizing expectations dynamics that can occasionally divorce inflation from fundamentals …. Our maximum likelihood estimates allow us to interpret observed inflation rates in terms of variations in the deficits … that cut inflation without reforming deficits. Our estimates also allow us to infer the deficit adjustments that seem to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292362
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
economy. Romer and Romer (2000) found that the Fed reveals information about inflation when it tightens monetary policy. Their … exclude the Fed's revelation of its asymmetric information about future inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293721