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The paper analyses the heterogeneity in the link between macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates. For a set of important US-specific economic shocks, it shows that such shocks have exerted a remarkably heterogeneous effect on global exchange rate configurations over the past 25 years....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604881
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen/dollar exchange rate. The paper shows first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 1999, and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435219
The paper investigates the profitability of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and their components in the yen-dollar market. It turns out that all models would have been profitable between 1976 and 2007. The models produce more single losses than single profits. At the same time, the size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435249
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen-dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 2007. I then show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435250
If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293389
This paper presents a new measure of capital flow pressures in the form of a recast exchange market pressure index. The measure captures pressures that materialize in actual international capital flows as well as pressures that result in exchange rate adjustments. The formulation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942779
United Kingdom and Sweden under the Gold Standard: under stable monetary regimes with clearly defined nominal anchors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604897
The emergence of the gold standard has for a long time been viewed as inevitable. Fluctuations of the gold …-silver exchange rate in world markets were accused to lead to brutal and unsustainable switches of bimetallic countries' money … analyze agents' expectations between 1860 and 1890. The intuition is that the spread between gold and silver bonds issued by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316773
them to mutualise their gold reserves in emergency situations. Gold reserve sharing was especially important in response to … union. But fortunes could change quickly, with emergency recipients of gold turning into providers. Because regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605731
Currency debasement, defined as a loss of precious metal content (intrinsic value) of the circulating penny currencies over time, was a common feature in the monetary history of Europe, c. 1400–1900. Over the centuries the loss rate was sustained; between 1400 and 1900 A. D. the (south) German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014521702