Showing 1 - 10 of 3,408
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073
and inflation rates. Building on the lessons from recent advances in time-series econometrics, we suggest instead that one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262571
This paper investigates the impact of revisions in inflation expectations on the prices of UK inflation-indexed and … conventional government bonds with a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Downwards revisions of inflation expectations are … affected. This suggests that indexed bonds protect investors against inflation while nominal bonds are exposed to changing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294028
experts? inflation expectations, we find that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295782
for inflation. We find that these forecasts do not contain the intended information. Rather, they either have no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295885
policy, including local approximations to the mean, persistence, and volatility of inflation. We present diverse sources of … uncertainty that impinge on the posterior predictive density for inflation, including model uncertainty, policy drift, structural … shifts and other shocks. We use a recently developed minimum entropy method to bring outside information to bear on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298251
inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300297
inflation. We use two methods; the first calculates UK weighted world export price inflation as the sum of the effect of the … inflation level in the UK's trading partners and the effect of substituting imports from more expensive countries with imports … from countries with lower price levels. The second estimates these two effects on UK inflation using panel regressions. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323552
Most analyses of the U.S. Great Moderation have been based on VAR methods, and have consistently pointed toward good luck as the main explanation for the greater macroeconomic stability of recent years. Using data generated by a New-Keynesian model in which the only source of change is the move...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323553