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Strategische und methodische Ansatzpunkte zur Ermittlung des regionalen Qualifikationsbedarfs
Hilbert, Christoph; Mytzek, Ralf - 2002
Fasst man bisherige Evaluationsstudien von Qualifizierungsmaßnahmen zusammen, zeigt sich bei den Beschäftigungseffekten ein uneinheitliches Bild. Erfahrungen zeigen jedoch, dass mit einer systematischen Beobachtung des Qualifikationsbedarfs auf regionaler Ebene die Ergebnisse verbessert werden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303965
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Forecasting and responding to qualification needs in Sweden
Lindskog, Magnus - 2003
There are more people exiting than entering their active working life in Sweden every year. In addition, the ongoing restructuring of labour markets implies significant changes in occupational structures and skill requirements. Under such conditions it is perhaps more important and more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303992
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A Note on Updating Forecasts When New Information Arrives between Two Periods
Chen, Pu - 2009
model. Based on this assumption the author drives the optimal updating rule for the forecast of the next period when new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298603
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Seeing inside the black box: Using diffusion index methodology to construct factor proxies in largescale macroeconomic time series environments
Armah, Nii Ayi; Swanson, Norman R. - 2011
In economics, common factors are often assumed to underlie the co-movements of a set of macroeconomic variables. For this reason, many authors have used estimated factors in the construction of prediction models. In this paper, we begin by surveying the extant literature on diffusion indexes. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282831
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Diffusion index models and index proxies: Recent results and new directions
Armah, Nii Ayi; Swanson, Norman - 2011
Diffusion index models have received considerable attention from both theoreticians and empirical econometricians in recent years. One reason for this is that datasets with many variables are increasingly becoming available and being utilized for economic modelling, and another is that common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282837
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Some variables are more worthy than others: New diffusion index evidence on the monitoring of key economic indicators
Armah, Nii Ayi; Swanson, Norman - 2011
Central banks regularly monitor select financial and macroeconomic variables in order to obtain early indication of the impact of monetary policies. This practice is discussed on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York website, for example, where one particular set of macroeconomic indicators is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282848
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Survey of models on demand, customer base-line and demand response and their relationships in the power market
Heshmati, Almas - 2012
The increasing use of demand-side management as a tool to reliably meet electricity demand at peak time has stimulated interest among researchers, consumers and producer organizations, managers, regulators and policymakers, This research reviews the growing literature on models used to study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284018
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Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance
Del Negro, Marco; Hasegawa, Raiden B.; Schorfheide, Frank - 2014
react in a timely fashion to changes in the environment, leading to real-time forecast improvements relative to other … methods of density forecast combination, such as Bayesian model averaging, optimal (static) pools, and equal weights. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
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Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates
Hendry, David F.; Hubrich, Kirstin - 2006
We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to … findings and analyse why forecasting the aggregate using information on its disaggregate components improves forecast accuracy … of the aggregate forecast of euro area and US inflation in some situations, but not in others. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604635
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2008
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows leads to a lower bias and to a lower root mean square forecast error for all but the smallest of breaks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276222