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This article provides new insights into the cyclical behavior of consumer and producer real wages in the USA and … cyclical patterns over time. From the findings of our study, we can infer that the USA and Germany differ with respect to the … lead-lag relationship of real wages and the business cycle. In the USA, both real wages are leading the business cycle in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309235
The recent changes in the national accounts unequivocally imply that the nature of the measured growth rate and business cycle has changed. This note investigates to what extent.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313359
We analyze the impact of short-run economic fluctuations on age-specific mortality using Bayesian time series econometrics and contribute to the debate on the procyclicality of mortality. For the first time, we examine the differing consequences of economic changes for all individual age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263746
Using data for six OECD countries, this paper studies the effect of macroeconomic conditions on the mortality index kt in the well-known Lee-Carter model. Significant correlations are found with real GDP growth rates in Australia, Canada, and the United States, and with unemployment rate changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265670
Using a Cox proportional hazard model that allows for a flexible time dependence in order to incorporate business cycle effects, we analyze the determinants of reemployment probabilities of young workers in the U.S. from 1978-1989. We find considerable changes in the chances of young workers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268048
Do workers sort more randomly across different job types when jobs are harder to find? To answer this question, we study the mobility of male workers among three-digit occupations in the matched files of the monthly Current Population Survey over the 1979-2004 period. We clean individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268864