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processes, cointegration is a necessary condition both for consistent estimation of the parameters of the model and … compatibility between the model and the data. Tests find little support for cointegration and, together with an out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321545
To date the cointegrating properties and the regime-switching behavior of the term structure are two separate strands of the literature. This paper integrates these lines of research and introduces regime shifts into a cointegrated VAR model. We argue that the short run dynamics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263095
are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC … theory, but only when the cointegrating relations are specified a priori based on economic theory. When estimated … alternative models, due to parameter estimation error, indicating that caution needs to be exercised when interpreting the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263217
. These two effects are tested against each other in a cointegration analysis for Japan and the US from 1957 until 1997 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264264
. Employing Johansen's multivariate cointegration approach, it investigates for ten selected SSA countries the long-run effect of … those cases where cointegration relationships are found – estimated supply elasticities tend to lie between 0.20 and 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265526
(the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265822
This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269974
This paper examines the importance of different economic sentiments, e.g. consumer moods, for the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) during the transition process. We first analyze the importance of economic confidence with respect to the CEECs' fi nancial markets. Since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269983
circumstances more appropriate than the latter. What is more, they deliver results that are more in line with the economic theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269994
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270503