We evaluate residual projection strategies in the context of a large-scale macro model of the euro area and smaller benchmark time-series models. The exercises attempt to measure the accuracy of model-based forecasts simulated both out-of-sample and in-sample. Both exercises incorporate...

We investigate the possibility of exploiting partial correlation graphs for identifying interpretable latent variables underlying a multivariate time series. It is shown how the collapsibility and separation properties of partial correlation graphs can be used to understand the relation between...

I present empirical results on the contribution of three key drivers of inflation in Denmark: an inflation trend anchored by inflation expectations; the Danish business cycle; and an energy price cycle. All three drivers contribute significantly to the development of inflation and explain most of...

We provide a detailed discussion of the time series modelling of daily tax revenues. The mainfeature of daily tax revenue series is the pattern within calendar months. Standard seasonal timeseries techniques cannot be used since the number of banking days per calendar month varies andbecause...

This article examines the role of the interaction between product market and labor market imperfections in determining total factor productivity growth (TFPG). Embedding Dobbelaere and Mairesse's (2009) generalization of Hall's (1990) approach, allowing for the possibility that wages are...

Primero enseñaremos que la (nueva) curva de Phillips diseñada por la escuela del «Nuevo Keynesianismo» se puede transformar fácilmente en una curva de Phillips «clásica». Teniendo en cuenta el «mismatch» en los mercados laborales, como lo describe la curva de Beveridge y combinando...

Why do not people evade more taxes when their gain from evasion is higher than the expected penalties? Why does only a small minority evade when a large majority is willing to? These tax evasion puzzles are explained in a labour market framework where employees may combine reported work in firms...

An adaptive economizing framework is proposed for analyzing labor market aspects of long-term industrial development using a dynamic, disaggregate economic model based upon principles of bounded rationality and markets in disequilibrium. The approach is applied to a firm's investment-production...