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In economics, common factors are often assumed to underlie the co-movements of a set of macroeconomic variables. For this reason, many authors have used estimated factors in the construction of prediction models. In this paper, we begin by surveying the extant literature on diffusion indexes. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282831
Diffusion index models have received considerable attention from both theoreticians and empirical econometricians in recent years. One reason for this is that datasets with many variables are increasingly becoming available and being utilized for economic modelling, and another is that common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282837
Central banks regularly monitor select financial and macroeconomic variables in order to obtain early indication of the impact of monetary policies. This practice is discussed on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York website, for example, where one particular set of macroeconomic indicators is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282848
countries, we find remarkable differences in forecast accuracy, and show that they are partly related to geography and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299102
countries, we find remarkable differences in forecast accuracy, and show that they are partly related to geography and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604624
period up to 2026 by drawing on past sectoral trends and the latest macroeconomic forecast results from the International …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014565947
behind the observed aggregated inter-regional migration flows. The theory on human capital predicts that job changes between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475008
Auf globaler Ebene ist der Schweinefleischmarkt durch eine zurückhaltende Importneigung insbesondere Chinas geprägt. Trotz begrenzter Produktionssteigerungen steht genügend Schweinefleisch für Exporte zur Verfügung. Ziemlich entgegengesetzt ist die Situation auf dem Rindfleischmarkt....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420679
Auf globaler Ebene ist der Fleischmarkt durch eine zurückhaltende Importnachfrage bei ausreichend verfügbaren Exportmengen der Hauptproduktionsregionen gekennzeichnet. Etwas anders ist die Situation auf dem Rindfleischmarkt. Insbesondere die USA und China zeigen einen hohen Importbedarf. Der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506939
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695890