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On the periodicity of inventories
Shibayama, Katsuyuki - 2008
This article studies inventories and monetary policy by estimating VAR models. The complex roots detected in our estimation generate cycles of around 55 to 70 months, which are quite close to actual business cycle lengths. This implies that production and inventories follow damped oscillations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277802
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Labor market institutions and the business cycle Unemployment rigidities vs. real wage rigidities
Abbritti, Mirko; Weber, Sebastian - 2010
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the New Keynesian framework we argue that labor market institutions should be divided into those institutions that cause Unemployment Rigidities (UR) and those that cause Real Wage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605229
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The global credit boom: Challenges for macroeconomics and policy
Hume, Michael; Sentance, Andrew - 2009
The recent financial crisis has put the spotlight on the rapid rise in credit which preceded it. In this paper, we provide an empirical and theoretical analysis of the credit boom and the macroeconomic context in which it developed. We find that the boom was unusually long and associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277874
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New Paradigms in Monetary Theory and Policy?
Balling, Morten; Llewellyn, David T.; Orphanides, Athanasios - 2012
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium “New Paradigms in Money and Finance?” All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689952
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Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy
Bekaert, Geert; Hoerova, Marie; Lo Duca, Marco - 2012
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility (“uncertainty”), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506749
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Labor market participation, unemployment and monetary policy
Campolmi, Alessia; Gnocchi, Stefano - 2011
In the present paper we examine how the introduction of endogenous participation in an otherwise standard DSGE model with matching frictions and nominal rigidities affects business cycle dynamics and monetary policy. The contribution of the paper is threefold: first, we show that the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322472
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Shocks and frictions in US business cycles: a Bayesian DSGE approach
Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - 2007
Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the US economy using seven macro-economic time series. The model incorporates many types of real and nominal frictions and seven types of structural shocks. We show that this model is able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604768
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The output gap, the labor wedge, and the dynamic behavior of hours
Sala, Luca; Söderström, Ulf; Trigari, Antonella - 2010
We use a standard quantitative business cycle model with nominal price and wage rigidities to estimate two measures of economic ineffciency in recent U.S. data: the output gap - the gap between the actual and effcient levels of output - and the labor wedge - the wedge between households'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320744
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Nicht zu früh bremsen!: Der Einfluss der Geldpolitik auf die langfristige Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland und den USA
Schettkat, Ronald; Sun, Rongrong - 2009
Neutralität von Geldpolitik wurde diese bei der Suche nach den Ursachen europäischer Arbeitslosigkeit verschont. Tatsächlich … Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen. Wir argumentieren, dass das Zusammenwirken negativer Schocks und einer restriktiven Geldpolitik die wesentliche -wenn … Europa war. Die Bundesbank -Europas 'Zentralbank' vor Etablierung der EZB- hat eine asymmetrische Geldpolitik in dem Sinne …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291094
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Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: a Bayesian DSGE Approach
Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - 2007
Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the US economy using seven macro-economic time series. The model incorporates many types of real and nominal frictions and seven types of structural shocks. We show that this model is able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506630