contribute to amplify the equity premium, and to account for its apparent, positive link with inflation. …

Pragmatic-world nominal riskless rates are non-negative. However, conventional arbitrage theory has yet to develop a …. In a positive inflation environment, however, both real spot and real forward rates might well become negative, but …

Output growth, investment and the real interest rate in long run evidence tend to be negatively affected by inflation …. Theoretically, inflation acts as a human capital tax that decreases output growth and the real interest rate, but increases the …. Inflation then decreases the investment rate, and still decreases both output growth and real interest up to some moderately …

. But a seeming puzzle arises of opposite Tobin-like inflation effects because theory indicates a negative Tobin effect when …Output growth, investment and the real interest rate are all found empirically to be negatively affected by inflation … investment falls and a positive Tobin effect when the real interest rate rises. We define inflation's Tobin effect more …

We jointly estimate the natural rate of interest, the natural rate of unemployment, expected inflation, and potential …-variation in (i) the data-generation process for inflation, which we capture via a time-varying parameters specification for the … Phillips curve portion of the model; and (ii) the volatilities of disturbances to inflation and cyclical (log) output, which we …