The 'Washington consensus' and 'shock therapy' approach to transition economies ignored the Keynesian lessons from the Great Depression: that market instability is a possibility and there may be an active role of government in managing stability and growth. The severe output decline in East...

Raportissa tarkastellaan, miten suomalaiset ennustelaitokset arvioivat Neuvostoliiton kehityksen ja Suomen Neuvostoliiton-kaupan kehityksen vuosina 1987-1991, sekä sitä, miten talousennusteet vastasivat toteutunutta kehitystä. Käsiteltävät ennustejulkaisut ovat Elinkeinoelämän...

The outburst of the 2008 global economic crisis sparked a myriad of criticism on mainstream neoclassical economic theory, held responsible for not even have considered the possibility of the kind of collapse that the subprime mortgage meltdown unleashed. In this paper, it is argued that what...

The fallout from the global economic downturn of 2008-09 is a continuing source of stress on families and a constraint on government policies. How can social policies contribute to a quick and equitable recovery from the crisis and how can they best respond to the difficulties that households...

This paper analyzes the effectiveness of social protection systems in Europe and the US to provide (income) insurance against macro level shocks in terms of automatic stabilizers. We find that automatic stabilizers absorb 38% of a proportional income shock and 47% of an idiosyncratic...

Germany's labor market responded only mildly to the Great Recession. Important factors for this development include the strong economic position due to recent labor market reforms, the crisis affecting mainly export-oriented companies, the extension of short-time work, time buffers due to...

In summer 2007, the US subprime crisis emerged and economic growth in industrialised countries started to slow down. The situation deteriorated after the default of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 and despite massive government interventions, the United States and most European countries slid...

During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....