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This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of anticipated monetary and fiscal policies in a large monetary union, which is characterized by asymmetric interest rate transmission. We explicitly solve the asymmetric three-country model using the decomposition methods of Aoki (1981) and Fukuda (1993)....
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In diesem Beitrag werden die intertemporalen Wirkungen von antizipierten geld- und fiskalpolitischen Maßnahmen im Rahmen eines asymmetrischen Drei-Länder-Modells vom Mundell-Fleming-Phillips-Typ mit rationalen Preis- und Wechselkursänderungserwartungen charakterisiert. Zwei der drei großen...
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This paper reviews reassesses the methodology and principal findings of the “Rose effect”, i.e. the trade effects of currency union, looking at both EMU and non-EMU currency unions. The consensus estimate suggests that the euro has already boosted intra-euro area trade by five to ten...
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Existing work on wage bargaining (as exemplified by Cukierman and Lippi, 2001) typically predicts more aggressive wage setting under monetary union. This insight has not been confirmed by the EMU experience, which has been characterised by wage moderation, thereby eliciting criticism from Posen...
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The regional voting pattern of the Swedish EU-membership referendum is analyzed to determine voters' preferences over two fiscal regimes: an autonomous Sweden, or Sweden as part of the EU. A major difference between these regimes is that autonomy gives greater national discretion to handle...
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