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A discrete time model of financial markets is considered. It is assumed that the relative jumps of the risky security price are independent non-identically distributed random variables. In the focus of attention is the expected non-risky profit of the investor that arises when the jumps of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293743
examines how well exchange rate volatility explains movements in stock market returns. The model-based predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292735
Nonparametric methods for estimating the implied volatility surface or the implied volatility smile are very popular …. The first step requires to extract implied volatility data from observed option prices, in the second step the actual … and less tractable. In this study, we propose a one-step estimator for the implied volatility surface based on a least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296461
volatility models including long memory and leverage effects. We compute the price by applying a present value scheme as well as … the Black-Scholes and Hull-White formulas which includes stochastic volatility. We find that long memory as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296646
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316281
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
optimizer. The mathematical motivation for such hybrid networks is presented, using the Kolmogorov theory of metric entropy. As … options written on the S&P 500 stock index. While option pricing theory typically requires a highly complex statistical model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301758
particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271381
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … volatility components. From a practical point of view, ML also becomes computationally unfeasible for large numbers of components … forecasts which in principle is applicable for any continuous distribution with any number of volatility components. Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … which in principle is applicable for any continuous distribution with any number of volatility components. Monte Carlo … linear compared to optimal forecasts is small. Extending the number of volatility components beyond what is feasible with MLE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151