Showing 1 - 10 of 10,859
, through the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, lower inflation. While the proposed model does a good job at matching the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506731
. Deflation subsided by 2005. As soon as inflation appeared to stabilize near a rate of zero, the Bank of Japan rapidly reduced … of recent announcements regarding direct asset purchases by the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the U.S. Federal … Reserve and the European Central Bank. Empirical evidence from the previous period of quantitative easing in Japan between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303752
. Inflation is projected to accelerate only gradually - modest levels of core inflation are largely due to structural factors and … finanziellen Umfeld. So könnte es im Zuge der anstehenden Normalisierung der Geldpolitik zu einer plötzlichen Verunsicherung an den …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143301
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function … inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation persistence during the period 1975 …) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422213
This paper formalizes the process of updating the nowcast and forecast on output and inflation as new releases of data … Philadelphia surveys have a large marginal impact on the nowcast of both inflation variables and real variables and this effect is … sizeable. Prices and quantities affect the precision of the estimates of inflation while GDP is only affected by real variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604679
qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent inflation. The usefulness of monetary analysis is contrasted to weaknesses … in modeling monetary policy and inflation with respectively short-term interest rates and real activity measures. The … analysis sheds light on the recent change in inflation volatility and persistence as well as on the Phillips curve flattening …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604802
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates … always in reaction to Fed announcements; and, (v) our impulse responses demonstrate that odds of extreme inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
. Moreover, our analysis has shown that liquidity will first show up in asset price inflation and only later in consumer goods … inflation. This renders it difficult for central bank to exit from their current very expansive monetary policy stance if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271353
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a … to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation-gap persistence during … Benati’s (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422228