Showing 1 - 10 of 11,364
Nonparametric methods for estimating the implied volatility surface or the implied volatility smile are very popular …. The first step requires to extract implied volatility data from observed option prices, in the second step the actual … and less tractable. In this study, we propose a one-step estimator for the implied volatility surface based on a least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296461
follows. We find weak and shortlived return spillovers, in particular from the USA to Japan. Volatility spillovers are more …Financial market spillovers around the globeThis paper investigates the transmission of return and volatility … contribution from foreign markets is less pronounced in the case of returns than in the case of volatility. Possible gains in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334474
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316281
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
examines how well exchange rate volatility explains movements in stock market returns. The model-based predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292735
incidence of violations by OTM than by ITM calls, contradicting the common inference drawn from the observed implied volatility … options being either underpriced over 1988-1995, or overpriced over 1997-2002. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266937
Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295724
volatility models including long memory and leverage effects. We compute the price by applying a present value scheme as well as … the Black-Scholes and Hull-White formulas which includes stochastic volatility. We find that long memory as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296646
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297797