Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …

We argue that positive comovements between land prices and business investment are a driving force behind the broad … joint dynamics of land prices and business investment. …

We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements … are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility-most dramatically in the durable goods sector-but with no …

The paper studies the interaction between cyclical uncertainty and investment in a stochastic real option framework … where demand shifts stochastically between three different states, each with different rates of drift and volatility. In our … of the link between cyclical uncertainty and investment is quantified using simulations of the model. The chief …

States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial … mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that …

This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model …, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …