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Most of the empirical applications of the stochatic volatility (SV) model are based on the assumption that the … conditional distribution of returns given the latent volatility process is normal. In this paper the SV model based on a … choice of the conditional distribution has systematic effects on the parameter estimates of the volatility process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435553
and the short-run or transitory components of the volatility of daily stock market returns using bivariate mixture models …. For this purpose, the Standard bivariate mixture model of Tauchen and Pitts (1983) in which volatility and volume are … each endowed with their own dynamic behavior are allowed to direct volatility and volume. Since the latent information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435593
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … practically always improves upon the na?ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294979
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … practically always improves upon the na?ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295136
In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as …. Liquidity is causal for future volatility but not vice versa. Furthermore, trade sizes are negatively driven by past trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263738
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
We test the menu cost model of Ball and Mankiw (1994, 1995), which implies that the impact of price dispersion on inflation should differ between inflation and deflation episodes, using data for Japan and Hong Kong. We use a random crosssection sample split when calculating the moments of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390613
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340
formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates … evidence of divergent behavior in the dynamics of return spillovers vs. volatility spillovers: Return spillovers display a … gently increasing trend but no bursts, whereas volatility spillovers display no trend but clear bursts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298351
seasonal pattern for the conditional volatility for the Swedish stock market has been found. The daily turnover in the Swedish … stock market has an impact on and eliminates to some extent seasonal patterns in conditional volatility. The daily turnover … correlated. We can also conclude that a feedback from the US stock market to the conditional volatility in the Swedish market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321733