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This paper reviews three different concepts of equilibrium exchange rates that are widely used in policy analysis and constitute the backbone of the IMF CGER assessment: the Macroeconomic Balance, the External Sustainability and the reduced form approaches. We raise a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605197
In this paper, we take a systematic look at global imbalances. First, we provide a definition of the phenomenon, and relate global imbalances to widening external positions of systemically important economies that reflect distortions or entail risks for the global economy. Second, we provide an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606230
This paper examines the statistical nature of the persistency of current account balances and its determinants. With the assumption that stationary current account series ensures the long-run budget constraint while countries may experience "local non-stationarity" in current account balances,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397237
Financial stability is an important policy objective, since crises are associated with large economic, social and political costs. Promoting stability requires preventing 'sudden stops' in capital flows, which are events in which foreign financing abruptly disappears. This paper contributes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278261
Financial stability is an important policy objective since crises are associated with big economic, social, and political costs. Promoting stability requires preventing 'sudden stops' in capital flows, which are events in which foreign financing abruptly disappears. This paper contributes to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397715
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695780
Rising current account and merchandise trade imbalances marked the years before the global financial and economic crisis. These imbalances either contributed to or precipitated the crisis and to the extent that they create systemic risks, it is desirable that they be reduced. There are many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326809
This paper examines two competing approaches for calculating current account benchmarks, i.e. the external sustainability approach á la Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (LM) versus the structural current accounts literature (SCA) based on panel econometric techniques. The aim is to gauge the medium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605041
Global current account imbalances are one of the key macroeconomic imbalances that underlie the global financial crisis. The central objective of this paper is to analyze the causes and consequences of global imbalances from the perspective of developing Asia. More specifically, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507261
the presence of borrowing and lending constraints on that bond. In a US versus the rest of the world (RoW) scenario, we … consumption risk relative to the rest of the world, and therefore decreases its motives for precautionary asset holdings relative … to the rest of the world. As a result of these asymmetric shifts in countries' barriers to capital mobility, the US runs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322494