-specific factors. In an empirical analysis of term structures of government bond yields for the Germany, Japan, the U.K. and the U …

structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and …

Transaktion dieser vier Anleihen in Deutschland umfasst. Dies ist besonders für Arbeiten über den Rentenmarkt von großem Interesse … bonds in Germany. This feature is particularly attractive for the bond market, where OTC transactions account for most … trading. The volatility of yields of the four bonds more than doubled in the wake of the Russian devaluation on August 17th …

This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data … for Germany from 1968 to 1998, we specify GARCH models to capture the variability of stock market prices, of the real … the future stance of the business cycle and on the volatility of industrial production. The results of our empirical …

on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …

We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of … sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the …

We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements … are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility-most dramatically in the durable goods sector-but with no …