Showing 1 - 10 of 5,932
We project the religious composition of the United States to 2043, considering fertility differences, migration …, intergenerational religious transmission and conversion by 11 ethnoreligious groups. If fertility and migration trends continue … younger age groups. Immigration drives growth among Hindus and Muslims, while low fertility explains decline among Jews. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352586
In most western societies, marital fertility began to decline in the nineteenth century. But in Ireland, fertility in … marriage remained stubbornly high into the twentieth century. Explanations of Ireland's late entry to the fertility transition … Irish outside of Ireland behaved the same way. This paper investigates these claims by examining the marital fertility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369158
An autoregressive fixed effects panel data equation in error-ridden endogenous and exogenous variables, with finite memory of disturbances, latent regressors and measurement errors is considered. Finite sample properties of GMM estimators are explored by Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. Two kinds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330209
The Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is discussed for handling the joint occurrence of fixed effects and random measurement errors in an autoregressive panel data model. Finite memory of disturbances, latent regressors and measurement errors is assumed. Two specializations of GMM are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330243
In most western societies, marital fertility began to decline in the nineteenth century. But in Ireland, fertility in …. This paper investigates these claims by examining the marital fertility of Irish Americans in 1900 and 1910. We find that … Irish fertility patterns did not survive the Atlantic crossing. The Irish in America had smaller families than couples in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293788
-birth probabilities in Austria over the period 1984 to 2004. Moreover, we apply our model to forecast age-specific fertility rates up to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352569
Seit der letzten Bevölkerungsvorausschätzung des DIW Berlin im Jahr 2004 haben sich zwei Parameter entscheidend verändert: Die gesetzliche Neuregelung der Zuwanderung hat seit 2005 zu einem starken Rückgang der Zuzüge geführt, vor allem bei Spätaussiedlern und Asylbewerbern, und eine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601768
Die Medien, die Öffentlichkeit und die Politik gehen seit vielen Jahren von einer demografischen Entwicklung aus, die für Deutschland nichts Gutes verheißt. Die Alterung der Bevölkerung bedroht die sozialen Sicherungssysteme, führt zu Fachkräftemangel und zu verdorrten Landschaften - so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433959
We propose a Conditional Autoregressive Wishart (CAW) model for the analysis of realized covariance matrices of asset returns. Our model assumes a generalized linear autoregressive moving average structure for the scale matrix of the Wishart distribution allowing to accommodate for complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300501
This paper estimates the path of inflation persistence in the United States over the last 50 years and draws implications about the evolution of the Federal Reserve's monetary-policy preferences. Standard models of central bank optimization predict that the central bank's preference for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321537