Showing 1 - 10 of 7,011
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates … always in reaction to Fed announcements; and, (v) our impulse responses demonstrate that odds of extreme inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
This paper gives an overview of some issues related to market valuation, focusing on the developments on the New York equity markets. The 42.4 p.c. fall in the S&P 500 price index between 24 March 2000 - when it reached its all-time high - and 31 December 2002 is situated in a very long term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506563
The extent to which the stock market provides a hedge to investors against inflation is examined for African stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273656
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
This paper examines five problems with the inflation indexing procedures used by the Social Security Administration of … the United States in taking inflation into account when calculating Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Benefits … indexing. As a result of Problems #2 and #4 your OASI check will be larger if wage inflation happens to be extra high in your …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298570
States in taking inflation into account when calculating Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) Benefits. Because of the … receives an annual benefit more than $1,800 larger than would have been generated with full indexing. While the inflation …-run financial instability for the OASI trust fund in periods of substantial inflation or deflation. They make the percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298623
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … exaggerated. Our main findings are that apparent longmemory is quite resistant to level shifts, although for a few inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324616
idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High …Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073