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-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tighening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
This paper deals with the total CO2 impact of households in a simple dynamic E3 model (economy/energy/environment), comprising a model block of private consumption and an input-output model. The consumption model describes the demand for different durables and nondurables, derived from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503174
We investigate the cyclicality of the private savings to GDP ratio for a panel of 19 OECD countries over the period … 1971-2009. We find robust evidence that the private savings ratio is countercyclical. Three theories unambiguously predict … a higher private savings ratio during recessions: a Ricardian offset effect, the presence of credit constraints, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326386
This paper investigates empirically why Japan's household savings rate fell in the 1990s. We constructed an economic …'s household savings rate. Our simulation analysis demonstrated that if the proportion of liquidity-constrained households in the … 1990s had stayed at the level as that of the late 1980s, the household savings rate would have increased by four percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332236
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (1960s-1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s-2007), and recent substantial rise (2008-2011) can be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of consumption in the presence of labor income uncertainty and credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397785
literature. Our findings can also be interpreted in the context of the secular decline in the US personal savings rate before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460494
vermehrt gespart. Ein großer Teil der Haushalte - 40 Prozent - kann allerdings kein Geld zurücklegen. Sparen können vor allem … Rückmarsch. Haushalte mit hohen Einkünften sparen generell nicht nur mehr als die Bezieher mittlerer oder geringer Einkommen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602309
The share of private consumption in gross domestic product is significant; therefore, private consumption has a great influence on economic growth, which makes it a major concept in economics. The purpose of the paper is to estimate and evaluate different forecasting models for private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037654
In recent decades, Zimbabwe's development record has been disappointing. In the last few years, a severe drought and the Covid-19 pandemic have added to the country's development challenges. This paper is concerned with the long-run need to find a path toward faster growth in GDP, employment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327931