This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …

indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …

There is a broad consensus among economists that, in the long run, inflation is a monetary phenomenon. However … inflationary processes. Moreover, impulses from monetary policy actions are transmitted to inflation through the output gap alone …. Interest rate impulses affect inflation through two channels, the output gap and the liquidity gap. Section 2 of the paper …

We examine the indicator property of the monetary indicator for inflation. Using a P*-model, Svensson shows …

for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons. …

We develop a time-varying transition probabilities Markov Switching model in which inflation is characterised by two … regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and … switches between inflation regimes. Thus money growth provides an important early warning indicator for risks to price …

countryspecific measures, particularly since the start of EMU, and is useful to predict country-specific inflation. However, it … generally does not encompass country-specific money overhang measures as predictors of inflation. Hence, aggregate money …

We examine the indicator property of the monetary indicator for inflation. Using a P*-model, Svensson (2000) shows …Der Artikel untersucht die Indikatoreigenschaften der Geldmenge für die Inflation. Unter Verwendung eines P …