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not a domain for decision theory. Decision theory perceives of acts as functions from states to consequences. Sequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292783
Fisher [2000, this journal] offers a unifying framework for two concepts of (quasi-) option value suggested by Arrow, Fisher, Hanemann, and Henry (AFHH) on the one hand, and by Dixit and Pindyck (DP) on the other, and claims these two concepts to be equivalent. We show that this claim is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296316
In criminal cases the task of the judge is to transform the uncertainty about the facts into the certainty of the verdict. In this experiment we examine the relationship between evidence of which the strength is known, subjective probability of guilt and verdict for abstract cases. We look at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325809
are asymptotically equivalent. We illustrate the implications of this new theory with a simple simulation, an application …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604630
Fiktion notwendig ist, aber eine Fiktion bleibt. Aber was heisst es für die (ökonomische) Theorie der Zukunftsentscheidungen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381300
Environmental policy often has to be devised under informational constraints, like uncertainty and asymmetric information. We consider an environmental policy that aims at reducing the welfare losses caused by asymmetric information while being sufficiently simple for implementation. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390636
The concept of a non-extreme-outcome-additive capacity (neo-additive capacity ) is introduced. Neo-additive capacities model optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty as observed in many experimental studies. Moreover, neo-additive capacities can be applied easily in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422102
We analyze a dynamic and stochastic ecological-economic model of grazing management in semi-arid range lands. The non-equilibrium ecosystem is driven by stochastic precipitation. A risk averse farmer chooses a grazing management strategy under uncertainty such as to maximize expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422121
In this paper we consider the effect of ambiguity on the private provision of public goods. Equilibrium is shown to exist and be unique. We examine how provision of the public good changes as the size of the population increases. We show that when there is uncertainty there may be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422127
We study the impact of ambiguity on two alternative institutions of financial intermediation in an economy where consumers face uncertain liquidity needs. The ambiguity the consumers experience is modeled by the degree of confidence in their additive beliefs. We analyze the optimal liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422151