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Neural networks (NN) and fuzzy logic systems (FLS) are used successfully for financial forecasting, credit rating and portfolio management. In search for more sophisticated modeling techniques a mixture of NN and FLS has proved to be worth consideration. We propose the novel constructive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301758
größenordnungsmäßig bekannten künftigen Aktienkurse. Es wird in dieser Arbeit zwischen der Optionspreistheorie und der Fuzzy Set Theorie …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316280
We use a compound option-based structural credit risk model to infer a term structure of banking crisis risk from market data on bank stocks in daily frequency. Considering debt service payments with different maturities this term structure assigns a separate estimator for short- and long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300362
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011318695
This paper addresses the multiple criteria flight gate assignment problem under uncertainty, which is naturally modeled by fuzzy numbers. The problem examined is a special kind of multicriteria multi-mode resource-constrained project scheduling problem with generalized precedence constraints or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011558815
In this paper, we introduce a linearity test for fuzzy rule-based models in the framework of time series modeling. To do so, we explore a family of statistical models, the regime switching autoregressive models, and the relations that link them to the fuzzy rule-based models. From these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807390
In order to group the observations of a data set into a given number of clusters, an 'optimal' subset out of a greater number of explanatory variables is to be selected. The problem is approached by maximizing a quality measure under certain restrictions that are supposed to keep the subset most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296660
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United States, the United Kingdom and Germany between 1871 and 2009. We identify for each country three distinct regimes in inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
The transition to market economy has represented both for Romania and other Central and Eastern European countries an emphasis on economic and social inequalities. The authors consider it is necessary to identify a path pass from chaotic inequalities to a state of economic and social cohesion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332480
This study examines the enduring spatial and racial dimensions of poverty and deprivation in South Africa to assess the progress made by the post-apartheid society and state. A multi-dimensional approach is required to assess progress because it can reflect the reduction in deprivation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401793