Showing 1 - 10 of 2,647
A slanted-L curve is well-suited to represent the non-linearity of the celebrated Phillips curve. We show this using cross-country data of major industrialized economies since 2009, including the inflationary surge of the 2020s. At high unemployment rates, an increase in demand reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494995
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
The paper extends the efficiency wages Phillips curve from a closed economy context to an open economy one with both commodity trade and capital mobility. Opening the trade account does not alter the slope of the Phillips curve, but it makes its position a function of the change of foreign and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277343
We consider the effect of money illusion - defined referring to Stevens' ratio estimation function - on the long-run Phillips curve in an otherwise standard New Keynesian model of sticky wages. We show that if households under-perceive real economic variables, negative money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277352
hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278020
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth," describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation and … permanent nominal rigidities, and no departure from rational expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281025
framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. The output gap is also an important variable in itself, as a … value added in predicting inflation. The multivariate measures of the output gap have by far the best predictive power. This … predicting inflation. As uncertainties are particularly pronounced at the end of the calculation periods, assessment of pressures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284323
This paper examines inflation dynamics in the Unites States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession …. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960- 2007 are used to predict inflation over 2008-2010: inflation … by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285786
How are inflation and unemployment related in the long run? Are they negatively correlated, as in the so-called naive … in his Nobel lecture? In this paper inflation is introduced into a general equilibrium search unemployment model. We show … of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334647
the NKPC does a reasonably good job of reproducing the dynamic link between current output and future inflation. It fails … inflation and output persistence. The assumption of inflation inertia improves a model?s performance of reproducing inflation … persistence and the dynamic inflation-output link. A significant improvement requires high intensity of inflation inertia. The fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494336