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A slanted-L curve is well-suited to represent the non-linearity of the celebrated Phillips curve. We show this using cross-country data of major industrialized economies since 2009, including the inflationary surge of the 2020s. At high unemployment rates, an increase in demand reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494995
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313770
The objective of this paper is to provide an optimizing model of wage and price setting consistent with U.S. data. The paper first investigates the predictions of an optimizing labor supply model for the aggregate nominal wage, taking as given the evolution of prices and quantities. In this part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318359
inflation. Taking as given the paths of nominal labor compensation and labor productivity to approximate the evolution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318369
Bei Vorliegen nach unten starrer Nominallöhne erschwert niedrige Inflation Reallohnanpassungen und führt so … Auswirkungen bei sehr niedriger Inflation nicht zu vernachlässigen sind. Die Ergebnisse dieser Literatur sollten daher bei der …In the presence of downwardly rigid nominal wages, low inflation may lead to higher equilibrium unemployment by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261537
Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263217
-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265568
hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272966
A growing body of empirical evidence shows that there exists a long-run positive tradeoff between inflation and real … between inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273150