This paper investigates the effects of financial development and political instability on economic growth in a power-ARCH framework with data for Argentina from 1896 to 2000. Our findings suggest that (i) informal or unanticipated political instability (e.g., guerrilla warfare) has a direct...

We analyze the relationship between fiscal deficit, macroeconomic uncertainty and growth for the period 1915-2006, and conclude that the deficit, possibly through the volatility in relative prices it generates, is a significant restriction on per-capita income growth in Argentina.

In this paper we do a couple of things: discussing a way to measure the welfare cost of country risk, and measuring it for Argentina in the period 1875-2006. There are two conclusions: a) the welfare cost of Argentine risk has been huge: for example, in the period 1976-2006 it was around 20% of...

Los modelos económicos que analizan el crecimiento hacen un fuerte hincapié en el efecto positivo de la acumulación del capital sobre el desarrollo de las economías. Para ello, deben existir mercados de capitales desarrollados que canalicen adecuadamente los ahorros hacia la inversión. Los...

This paper examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in case of Argentina's economy. Apply Granger causality and exogeneity tests based on VEC (vector error correction) models with monthly data covering the period 1993:1-2010:8. The results show that the...

Las causas de la explosión de desempleo y de la escasa creación de empleos ocurridas en la Argentina hasta 1995 y sus perspectivas futuras son los dos hilos conductores de este documento. Aquí se presenta una interpretación que se profundiza para el caso de la Argentina.