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On 15th November 2012 in Copenhagen, SUERF and Nykredit in association with Danmarks Nationalbank organised a conference on “Property prices and real estate financing in a turbulent world.” The papers included in this SUERF Study are based on contributions to the conference.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689960
conventional unit root tests in modified forms can be used to construct early warning indicators for bubbles in financial markets … 1871, they are able to signal most of the consensus bubbles, defined as stock market booms for example by the IMF, and they … bubbles from the data. Finally, these early warning indicators are applied to data for several housing markets. In most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148911
occasions were the so-called 1929 and 2000 bubbles. The models showed that, at some point in time before the peak in (real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506563
Bubbles in asset markets have been documented in numerous experimental studies. However, all experiments in which … bubbles occur pay dividends after each trading day. In this paper we study whether bubbles can occur in markets without … may have inside information, and (2) the option to communicate with other traders. We find that bubbles can indeed occur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422145
reswitching activities and short-term thinking of bounded rational investors. Negative bubbles (market prices lower than … fundamentals) tend to occur if active portfolio managers exhibit high risk aversion, but are less frequent than positive bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323727
bubbles’ the spatial pattern of house prices, which can mainly be attributed to accessibility differences, usually remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325383
We explore a view of the crisis as a shock to investor sentiment that led to the collapse of a bubble or pyramid scheme in financial markets. We embed this view in a standard model of the financial accelerator and explore its empirical and policy implications. In particular, we show how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605394
This paper investigates the empirical relevance of a new framework for monetary policyanalysis in which decision makers are allowed to weight differently positive and negative deviations of inflation and output from the target values. The specification of the central bank objective is general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335732
The subprime financial crisis has forced several North American and European central banks to take extraordinary measures and to modify some of their operational procedures. These changes have made even clearer the deficiencies and lack of realism in mainstream monetary theory, as can be found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286547
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325397