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The Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG : modelling and forecasting

Wdowiński, Piotr; Zglinska-Pietrzak, Aneta - 2005

In this paper we have assessed an influence of the NYSE Stock Exchange indexes (DJIA and NASDAQ) and European Stock indexes (DAX and FTSE) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG within a framework of a GARCH model. By applying a procedure of checking predictive quality of econometric models as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277059

Have bull and bear markets changed over time? Empirical evidence from the US-stock market

Grobys, Klaus - In: Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis 1 (2012) 1, pp. 151-171

This contribution analyzes bull and bear markets from 1954:1-2011:2 in the US-stock index S&P 500. Thereby, a 2-State-Markov-Switching model is applied to figure out bull and bear market regimes within the latter period, whereby the estimated state probabilities are used to estimate a dummy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286823

Dependencies between European stock markets when price changes are unusually large

Schich, Sebastian T. - 2002

ungewöhnlich grossen Preisveränderung auf einem Aktienmarkt, wenn eine ungewöhnlich grosse Preisveränderung auf einem anderen Markt … starker gegenseitiger Abhängigkeit in Bezug auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt, während die Aktienmärkte in Grossbritannien und … Italien weniger eng mit dem deutschen Aktienmarkt verbunden sind. Viertens sind die Abhängigkeiten zwischen zwei Märkten …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295729

The Connection of Stock Markets Between Germany and the USA: New Evidence From a Co-integration Study

Eberts, Elke - 2003

This paper uses an empirical connection between real stock market indices of Germany and the USA for forecasting corresponding returns. We are starting from the random walk as the traditional forecasting model in stock market applications, extending it by co-integration. Since the cointegrating...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297288

Fortgeschrittene technische Indikatoren am Aktienmarkt: Eine empirische Analyse

Hornbach, Christian; Hellenkamp, André - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475190

Intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and German stock markets

Golosnoy, Vasyl; Gribisch, Bastian; Liesenfeld, Roman - 2012

Using a novel three-phase model based upon a conditional autoregressive Wishart (CAW) framework for the realized (co)variances of the US Dow Jones and the German stock index DAX, we analyze intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and German stock markets. The proposed model explicitly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308958

Asymmetry in volatility: A comparison of developed and transition stock markets

Wdowiński, Piotr; Malecka, Marta - 2010

ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to econometric model building in the field of financial time series with time-varying variance. The main idea of the models was to describe the most typical features of capital markets...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556

Stock market valuation in the United States

Bisciari, Patrick; Durré, Alain; Nyssens, Alain - 2003

This paper gives an overview of some issues related to market valuation, focusing on the developments on the New York equity markets. The 42.4 p.c. fall in the S&P 500 price index between 24 March 2000 - when it reached its all-time high - and 31 December 2002 is situated in a very long term...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506563

Bigger fish in small pond: The interaction between foreigners' trading and emerging stock market returns under the microscope

Ülkü, Numan; Weber, Enzo - 2011

This paper provides the first study of foreign investors' trading in a sizeable European emerging stock market, using a combination of daily and monthly complete data collected at the destination. It also introduces the structural conditional correlation (SCC) methodology to identify the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281894

Testing for convergence in stock markets: a non-linear factor approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, … - 2009

This paper applies the Phillips and Sul (2007) method to test for convergence in stock returns to an extensive dataset including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as the US over the period 1973-2008. We carry out the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274513

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