Showing 1 - 10 of 6,856
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554
This paper investigates the long run and short run relationships of monetary policy, inflation and economic growth in … relationships of monetary policy and inflation are available and most of these have analyzed the effectiveness of monetary policy in … controlling inflation in Pakistan. The present study fills the gap in the literature by analyzing the nexus of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938320
In this note, we use multivariate models estimated with Bayesian techniques and an out-ofsample approach to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output link over the 1960-2005 period. However, further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299137
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299146
economy. Romer and Romer (2000) found that the Fed reveals information about inflation when it tightens monetary policy. Their … exclude the Fed's revelation of its asymmetric information about future inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293721
Structural vector-autoregressive models are potentially very useful tools for guiding both macro- and microeconomic policy. In this paper, we present a recently developed method for exploiting non-Gaussianity in the data for estimating such models, with the aim of capturing the causal structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269741
policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation … of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or … evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. (Here I give particular attention to the implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940718
Specific ideas about the Fisher relation between real and nominal interest rates and more general ideas about the nature of the central bank's duty to support the financial system in times of crisis were important to the Monetarist re-assessment of the causes of the Great Depression and what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291905