Showing 1 - 10 of 2,078
We consider estimation and inference for a regression coefficient in panels with interactive fixed effects (i.e., with a factor structure). We show that previously developed estimators and confidence intervals (CIs) might be heavily biased and size-distorted when some of the factors are weak. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480692
This paper focuses on the extraction of volatility of financial returns. The volatility process is modeled as a … the volatility is not observable, the logarithm of the daily high-low range is employed as its proxy. The estimation of … parameters and volatility extraction are performed using a modified version of the Kalman filter which takes into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322165
The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324992
The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the … process for the volatility is nonnegative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281507
Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295724
capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in … evidence for time-varying volatility in the yield factors. This is mostly true for the level and slope volatility revealing … also the highest persistence. It turns out that the inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270702
Most multivariate variance or volatility models suffer from a common problem, the “curse of dimensionality”. For this … stochastic volatility models. The empirical analysis on stock returns on the US market shows that 1% and 5 % Value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326487
Most of the empirical applications of the stochatic volatility (SV) model are based on the assumption that the … conditional distribution of returns given the latent volatility process is normal. In this paper the SV model based on a … choice of the conditional distribution has systematic effects on the parameter estimates of the volatility process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435553
We consider a stochastic volatility model of the mean-reverting type to describe the evolution of a firm’s values … default probability. Our simulation results indicate that the stochastic volatility model tends to predict higher default … probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm’s credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753195
A discrete time model of financial markets is considered. It is assumed that the relative jumps of the risky security price are independent non-identically distributed random variables. In the focus of attention is the expected non-risky profit of the investor that arises when the jumps of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293743