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We test whether the Nelson and Siegel (1987) yield curve model is arbitrage-free in a statistical sense. Theoretically, the Nelson-Siegel model does not ensure the absence of arbitrage opportunities, as shown by Bjork and Christensen (1999). Still, central banks and public wealth managers rely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604920
At arbitrary prices of commodities and assets, fix-price equilibria exist under weak assumptions: endowments need not satisfy an interiority condition, utility functions need only satisfy a very weak monotonicity requirement, and the asset return matrix allows for redundant assets. Prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306488
This paper investigates the limit properties of mean-variance (mv) and arbitrage pricing (ap) trading strategies using a general dynamic factor model, as the number of assets diverge to infinity. It extends the results obtained in the literature for the exact pricing case to two other cases of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276233
In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277058
For market with an atomless continuum of assets, we formulate the intuitive idea of a well-diversified portfolio, and present a notion of exact arbitrage, strictly weaker than the more conventional notion of asymptotic arbitrage, and necessary and sufficient for the validity of an APT pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293487
We provide a detailed portfolio analysis for a financial market with an atomless continuum of assets. In the context of an exact arbitrage pricing theory (EAPT), we go beyond the characterization of the existence of important portfolios (normalized riskless, mean, cost, factor and mean-variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293500
Using a stochastic discount factor approach, we derive the exact solution for arbitrage-free bond yields for the case that the short-term interest rate follows a threshold process with the intercept switching endogenously. The yield functions, mapping the one-month rate into n-period yields,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295794
Pragmatic-world nominal riskless rates are non-negative. However, conventional arbitrage theory has yet to develop a theoretical justification of this phenomenon. – We define the null-alternative cash as an investor holding onto cash and refraining from investment and consumption ("doing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296997
In this note we present a simple method to include the no-arbitrage condition into the derivation of conditional densities using the principle of maximum entropy. For the case of identically and independently distributed returns, we easily derive that the whole process estimated that way is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299804