We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …

in recessions by examining the movement of relative unemployment rates over the business cycle. Any conclusion drawn from … of unemployment are not examined. Using Current Population Survey data matched across adjacent months from 1989 to 2004 … the racial unemployment gap near the peak of the business cycle is driven by a reduction in the rate of job loss for …

We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …

We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …

bargaining solution financing constraints increase substantially the volatility of wages, and in turn, amplification for the …

paper, we present a model with equilibrium unemployment which has three distinctive properties. First, using a search and …, which allows the model to reproduce the fluctuations of unemployment over the business cycle. And third, the model implies a … reasonable elasticity of steady state unemployment with respect to changes in benefits. The calibration of the model implies low …

unemployment has a weak positive effect on the probability of filling a vacancy, while the number of vacancies in the local labor …

Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …

macroeconomic forecasts. We produce real time out-of-sample forecasts for inflation, the unemployment rate and the interest rate … using a Time-Varying Coefficients VAR with Stochastic Volatility (TV-VAR) for the US. The model generates accurate …