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assumptions on the functional correspondence between price inflation, inflation expectations and marginal costs. Expectations are … not assumed to be an unbiased predictor of actual inflation and instead derived from the European Commission’s Consumer … Survey data. The results suggest that expectations drive inflation with a lag of about 6 months, which casts further doubt on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605165
policy literature. The extent to which these firms adjust their prices to lagged inflation has been taken as fixed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295244
policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation … of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or … evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. (Here I give particular attention to the implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940718
hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272966
hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278020
output or inflation as in the empirical "two-pillar" Phillips curves estimated in some recent contributions, it would be …-checking does not require direct effects of money on output or inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295857
output or inflation as in the empirical 'two-pillar' Phillips curves estimated in some recent contributions, it would be …-checking does not require direct effects of money on output or inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298366
The European Central Bank has assigned a special role to money in its two pillar strategy and has received much criticism for this decision. The case against including money in the central bank's interest rate rule is based on a standard model of the monetary transmission process that underlies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298367
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265404
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260669