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The paper presents the Dutch country block of the ESCB Multi-Country Model (MCM) for the euro area. We show how a theoretical model is translated into an econometric specification and how this specification is in turn estimated and used in the projection exercises of the E(S)CB. The dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604692
Identification based on higher moments has drawn increasing theoretical attention and been widely adopted in empirical practice in macroeconometrics in the last two decades. This article reviews two parallel strands of the literature: identification strategies based on heteroskedasticity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480567
The papers in this special issue of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation cover the following topics: improving …, globalization, and innovation: a general equilibrium simulation, whether exchange rates affect consumer prices: a comparative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326266
We study 30 vintages of FRB/US, the principal macro model used by the Federal Reserve Board staff for forecasting and policy analysis. To do this, we exploit archives of the model code, coefficients, baseline databases and stochastic shock sets stored after each FOMC meeting from the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604656
in that paper. A small scale Monte Carlo simulation exercise suggests that the RESET tests proposed by Papke and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294799
similarities. The simulation results of the different policy scenarios are then analyzed and discussed. Two important conclusions … can be drawn from the simulation results: (i) important trade-offs and synergies exist between the different economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410765
The paper presents the German block of the ESCB multi-country model. It builds on previous modelling work on the Area Wide Model and other country blocks of the ESCB multicountry-model. Whilst being analogous to these models in following a common modelling approach and the same theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604700
This paper documents the structure, estimation and simulation properties of the Italian block of the ESCB … simulation analysis. The specification of the Italian model follows closely that of the Area-Wide Model (AWM) and indeed the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604706
simulate life courses for a cohort. The simulation implies that for each (simulated) member of the cohort we know on a … have approximately 200 data points for each (simulated) individual. The original data on which the simulation model is … in the simulation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304022
This paper studies the cost effectiveness of climate policy if there are technology externalities. For this purpose, we develop a forward-looking CGE model that captures empirical links between CO2 emissions associated with energy use, directed technical change and the economy. We find the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312362