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Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
The Turkish current account has been exploding in the last few years leading to concerns of a crisis. One of the primary factors identified in the rising deficits is the appreciating lira. In addition, income elasticity of exports and imports can also shed light on continuing trade deficits. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807199
, inflation rate, interest rate and real GDP in Turkey. It provides a descriptive data analysis in order to understand the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320494
This study investigates volatility spillovers between two stock markets, Turkish and Brazilian, located in different … volatility spillovers from Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) to São Paulo Stock Exchange (BOVESPA). The results imply that financial … crises may change the size and the direction of volatility spillovers between markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320499
evolves over time and that it is different under different market conditions defined by exchange rate volatility. Further, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322440
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
comparing the short-term (i.e. month-to-month) volatility of New Zealand's exchange rate to other economies, on a trade …-term volatility out of the economies included in the analysis. Factors that affect the expected relative return on New Zealand dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115625
This paper explores the impact of New Zealand's exchange rate variability on the tradable sector, and policy options for dampening exchange rate variability. It finds that exchange rate variability in the medium term is likely to have a negative impact on the tradable sector. However, the link...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115626
increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for the next minutes but that intervention days show a lower degree of … volatility (and spread) than non-intervention days. We also show for intraday data that the price impact of interbank order flow … position taking, the targeted exchange rate range holds and volatility, spread and price impact go down. Overall, the credible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264306