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estimate a Markov switching VAR for the euro area and the US, including additionally GDP, CPI and a short-term interest rate …. We find evidence for two distinct states in both regions. For the euro area, we find a regime which is correlated to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604862
die USA, den Euroraum, Japan und Großbritannien spezifiziert. Während die Geldpolitik keinen Einfluss auf die Entwicklung …. Andererseits wäre im Fall steigender Vermögenspreise eine restriktivere Geldpolitik erforderlich, die die Dynamik von Produktion … eine restriktivere Geldpolitik bei nicht fundamental begründeten Preissteigerungen tatsächlich dämpfend auf die Entwicklung …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377866
significant responses to a monetary policy shock. Shocks to asset prices have a positive, significant effect on GDP and credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506670
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
policy shock in US data. Our VAR includes net business formation, profits and markups. We evaluate two channels through which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506731
find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global … negative shock to foreign real GDP growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370122
We augment a standard monetary DSGE model to include a banking sector and financial markets. We fit the model to Euro … intermediation turns an otherwise diversifiable source of idiosyncratic economic uncertainty, the ‘risk shock’, into a systemic force. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605238
The paper analyses whether, and to what extent, emerging market economies (EMEs) have systemic importance for global financial markets, above and beyond their influence during crises episodes. Using a novel database of exogenous economic and political shocks for 14 systematically relevant EMEs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604770
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium “New Paradigms in Money and Finance?” All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689952
surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian … mechanism, but also about the differences between the euro area and the US, which are on average essentially small. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605135