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In assessing Alexander Swoboda's great influence on economics, two themes stand out: the determinants of global inflation, particularly in the 1970s, and the choice of an exchange rate regime consistent with domestic monetary and fiscal policies. Although seemingly narrowly focused on China, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304732
During the 1990's the Japanese yen proved astonishingly strong despite the persisting recession. This paper tracks the origins of the high yen. It analyses the influence of interest rates, prices and foreign exchange policy on the yen-dollar exchange rate. It comes to the conclusion that real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305081
The Philippine peso appreciation has been creating serious problems for the economy because of the high degree of unemployment and poverty incidence in the country. More specifically, it threatens contraction of the export sector through loss of competitiveness. The paper tracks the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333558
Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar, and this one-way bet has led to a loss of domestic monetary control. Combined with a more general flight from the U.S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275871
Zinsdifferenzen allenfalls einen kurzfristigen Einfluss auf den Wechselkurs. Langfristig ist das Preisniveau entscheidend, so dass der … konnten die Aufwertung nur vorübergehend aufhalten, wenn sie nicht sterilisiert wurden. Langfristig konnten sie jedoch die … Aufwertung nicht verhindern. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377557
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695810
Since the start of European monetary union, the macroeconomic situation in Germany can in many respects only be analyzed in combination with the situation in the rest of the euro area. To take this into account, a small macroeconometric model is constructed that models the euro area as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265489
nicht, da sie zu einer nominalen Aufwertung der D-Mark führe. Dies wirke der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der Unternehmen entgegen …, so daß per saldo die Früchte der Lohnzurückhaltung über den Wechselkursmechanismus, also über die Aufwertung, zunichte … einer daraus resultierenden Aufwertung, positiv auf die Beschäftigung aus. Sie bedeutet, daß zunächst einmal die Nachfrage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295037
The obsolete capital stock in eastern Germany has to be rebuilt. This will increase the capital demand in Germany for the next few years. In addition to the increased demand for capital, government transfers need to be financed. The macroeconomic accounting identity requires that net savings of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295185
In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295734