The paper presents the Dutch country block of the ESCB Multi-Country Model (MCM) for the euro area. We show how a theoretical model is translated into an econometric specification and how this specification is in turn estimated and used in the projection exercises of the E(S)CB. The dynamic...

This paper introduces a model for stress testing of probability of default of individuals. The model rests on assumption that the individual defaults if his savings fall below zero. The probability of default is then described as a function of several macroeconomic indicators such as wages,...

This paper presents the results of an analysis of data on individual bank loans of non-financial corporations in the Czech Republic taken from the CNB's Central Credit Register. It focuses on the question of how firms obtain financing from domestic banks. The results show that the vast majority...

In 2001, government guarantees for savings banks in Germany were removed following a law suit. We use this natural experiment to examine the effect of government guarantees on bank risk taking, using a large data set of matched bank/borrower information. The results suggest that banks whose...

This paper shows that applying simple employment-weighted OLS estimation to Davis - Haltiwanger - Schuh (1996) firm level job creation rates taking the values 2 and -2 for entering and exiting firms, respectively, provides biased and inconsistent parameter estimates. Consequently, we argue that...