The world of work is experiencing multiple transformations driven by automation and digitalization, environmental … today we are living in a poly- or perma-crisis. These multiple pressures and crises impact the world of work and oblige … courses and workshops were organized in various regions in the world (i.e. Europe, the Arab States, Africa, Asia and the …

react in a timely fashion to changes in the environment, leading to real-time forecast improvements relative to other … methods of density forecast combination, such as Bayesian model averaging, optimal (static) pools, and equal weights. We show …

-2005Q4. Forecasts are obtained for 134 variables from 26 regions made up of 33 countries covering about 90% of world output … forecast combination literature, the effects of model and estimation uncertainty on forecast outcomes are examined by pooling …

of world output. The forecasts are compared to typical benchmarks: univariate autoregressive and random walk models …. Building on the forecast combination literature, the paper examines the effects of model and estimation uncertainty on forecast …

folgende Interessensgebiete: ifo Konjunkturumfragen; ifo Konjunkturanalyse und Prognose; Wachstum und Konjunktur in der … Konjunkturanalyse und -prognose. Dabei wird besonders auf die Charakteristika der ifo Konjunkturprognose eingegangen. Ein weiterer …