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Should central banks target stock prices?
De Grauwe, Paul - In: Intereconomics 43 (2008) 5, pp. 256-258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272208
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Monetary Policy, Regulation and Volatile Markets
Calverley, John P.; Restoy, Fernando; Thuesen, Jesper … - 2008
and supervisory arrangements adequate when market volatility increases and financial institutions come under stress? In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689935
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Profiteering from the Dot-com Bubble, Sub-Prime Crisis and Asian Financial Crisis
McAleer, Michael; Suen, John; Wong, Wing Keung - 2013
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340
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Measuring the stability of a dynamic system: The case of the stock market turmoil 2007-2008
Bask, Mikael; Widerberg, Anna - 2010
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
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Monetary policy and stock market boom-bust cycles
Christiano, Lawrence; Ilut, Cosmin; Motto, Roberto; … - 2008
We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605001
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The Markov-switching multi-fractal model of asset returns: GMM estimation and linear forecasting of volatility
Lux, Thomas - 2004
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … volatility components. From a practical point of view, ML also becomes computationally unfeasible for large numbers of components … forecasts which in principle is applicable for any continuous distribution with any number of volatility components. Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
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The Markov-Switching Multifractal Model of asset returns: GMM estimation and linear forecasting of volatility
Lux, Thomas - 2006
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … which in principle is applicable for any continuous distribution with any number of volatility components. Monte Carlo … linear compared to optimal forecasts is small. Extending the number of volatility components beyond what is feasible with MLE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
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The performance and robustness of interest-rate rules in models of the euro area
Adalid, Ramón; Coenen, Günter; McAdam, Peter; … - 2005
In this paper, we examine the performance and robustness of optimised interest-rate rules in four models of the euro area which differ considerably in terms of size, degree of aggregation, relevance of forward-looking behavioural elements and adherence to micro-foundations. Our findings are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604525
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Elastic Money, Inflation, and Interest Rate Policy
Head, Allen; Qiu, Junfeng - 2011
Optimal monetary policy is studied in an environment in which money plays an essential role in facilitating exchange and aggregate shocks affect individual agents asymmetrically. Exchange may be conducted using either bank deposits (inside money) or fiat currency (outside money). A central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940766
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Forward Guidance for Monetary Policy: Is It Desirable?
Gersbach, Hans; Hahn, Volker - 2008
In this paper we assess whether forward guidance for monetary policy regarding the future path of interest rates is desirable. We distinguish between two cases where forward guidance for monetary policy may be helpful. First, forward guidance may reveal private information of the central bank....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753148