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Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has …, being for long periods of time smaller than one. The unitary gain associated with the quantity theory of money appeared in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073
Many seasonal macroeconomic time series are subject to changes in their means and variances over a long time horizon. In this paper we propose a general treatment for the modelling of time-varying features in economic time series. We show that time series models with mean and variance functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326058
We consider the problem of smoothing data on two-dimensional grids with holes or gaps. Such grids are often referred to as difficult regions. Since the data is not observed on these locations, the gap is not part of the domain. We cannot apply standard smoothing methods since they smooth over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325665
This paper studies optimal monetary policy responses in an economy featuring sectorial heterogeneity in the frequency of price adjustments. It shows that a central bank facing heterogeneous nominal rigidities is more likely to behave less aggressively than in a fully sticky economy. Hence, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604883
This paper presents and exemplifies results developed for cointegration analysis with state space models by Bauer and … Wagner in a series of papers. Unit root processes, cointegration and polynomial cointegration are defined. Based upon these … employed for cointegration analysis. By means of detailing the cases most relevant for empirical applications, the I(1), MFI(1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294007
We develop a method for directly modeling cointegrated multivariate time series that are observed in mixed frequencies. We regard lower-frequency data as regularly (or irregularly) missing and treat them with higher-frequency data by adopting a state-space model. This utilizes the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264085
This paper investigates possible non-linearities in the dynamics of the euro area demand for the narrow aggregate M1. A long-run money demand relationship is firstly estimated over a sample period covering the last three decades. While the parameters of the relationship are jointly stable, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604638
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324992
processes, cointegration is a necessary condition both for consistent estimation of the parameters of the model and … compatibility between the model and the data. Tests find little support for cointegration and, together with an out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321545
, inwiefern die Beziehung zwischen Geldmenge und Inflation stabil ist, d.h. ob das Parameterregime als konstant unterstellt werden …While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to … volatility of the transmission from monetary pressure to inflation follows some structure, i.e., if the parameter regime can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271412