Showing 1 - 10 of 5,524
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301738
capitalisation of future dividend taxes in retained earnings, and it is robust to inclusion of a variety of control variables and … tests for possible alternative explanations. Second, we find that differences in dividend tax rates across U.S. tax regimes …-country variation in dividend tax rates is associated with predictable variation in the implied tax discount. Furthermore, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608410
empirical practice of omitting dividend growth from the system amounts to imposing the extra restriction that dividend growth is … not persistent. We highlight that persistence in dividend growth induces a previously overlooked channel for return … predictability, which we label "dividend momentum." Compared to estimation based on ordinary least squares, our restricted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819002
This paper documents that factors extracted from a large set of macroeconomic variables bear useful information for predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression models improve upon both benchmark models that only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326025
follows. We find weak and shortlived return spillovers, in particular from the USA to Japan. Volatility spillovers are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334474
We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and noninvertible ARMA model. Tests based on a special case of the general model, referred to as an all-pass model, are also obtained. Data generated by an all-pass process are uncorrelated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500219
Demand is growing for a better understanding of how assets are priced in countries outside of the U.S. While financial data are available for many firms world-wide, it is important to have a reliable and replicable method of constructing high-quality systematic risk factors from these data. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696605
are, according to the discount dividend model, annual earnings and, according to Q-theory, net worth. In December 2002 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506563
Recent research suggests that the power law is one of the most universal laws in nature and it also seems to work quite fine in economics and finance. In this paper we show that the power law explains extremely well the relationship between the value of broad-based market indices and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297376