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learning. To overcome the inherent ill-posed statistical problem in NPS pollution data the sequential entropy filter is applied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608793
This paper initiates the study of long term interactions where players' bounded rationality varies over time. Time dependent bounded rationality is reflected in part in the number $\psi(t)$ of distinct strategies in the first $t$-stages. We examine how the growth rate of $\psi_i(t)$ affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266360
We use transfer entropy to quantify information flows between financial markets and propose a suitable bootstrap … procedure for statistical inference. Transfer entropy is a model-free measure designed as the Kullback-Leibler distance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318778
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows: U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). Average term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538004
In rare event simulation, we look for estimators such that the relative accuracy of the output is ''controlled'' when the rarity is getting more and more critical. Different robustness properties have been defined in the literature, that an estimator is expected to satisfy. Though, those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326256
We argue that the complex interactions of competitive heterogeneous firms lead to a statistical equilibrium distribution of firms? profit rates, which turns out to be an exponential power (or Subbotin) distribution. Moreover, we construct a diffusion process that has the Subbotin distribution as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296303
in this way the evolution of the system. The model is analytically solved by means of maximum entropy maximization and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298572
parameterization and scaling, which are key features of GAS models compared to other observation driven models. The Dudley entropy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326396
We propose a method to test a prediction of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, a predicted distribution is tested using a realization of the stochastic process. A test associates a set of realizations for each predicted distribution, on which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272320
sets a series of non-parametric based tests utilising entropy based metrics. These suggest that the PDFs and CDFs of these … two return distributions change shape in various subsample periods. The entropy and MI statistics suggest that the degree … most recent period from 2011 to 2012. The entropy based non-parametric tests of the equivalence of the two distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326508