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In recent years there has been increasing concern about the identification of parameters in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified. For the researcher using Bayesian methods, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276281
Keynesian model we show that, if households have hyperbolic discounting, small positive rates of inflation can be optimal. In … our baseline calibration, the optimal rate of inflation is 2.1% and remains positive across a wide range of calibrations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278022
what I call a micro Phillips curve, i.e. a product-specific relation between inflation and economic activity conditional on … inflation expectations. I find two opposing effects of competition on the slope of the micro Phillips curve. On the one hand … weak competition. In line with the theory, prices of products, that face very strong competition, are also less likely to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319699
The establishment of appropriate policy measures for fighting unemployment has always been difficult since causes of unemployment are hard to identify. This paper analyses an approach used mainly in the 1960s and 1970s in economics, in which classification is used as a way to deal with such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325353
In this paper we examine a model where firms decide on the intensity of information acquisition about shocks. We analyze how the monetary policy framework impacts on the aggregate amount of information collected by firms. We show that it is socially beneficial to delegate monetary policy to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753137
expected horizon is met. Hence search theory predicts the existence of a micro Phillips relation under plausible assumptions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334990
survey data in the US Phillips curve, where the output gap plays a significant role but lagged inflation plays none. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940743
We show empirically that survey-based measures of expected inflation are significant and strong predictors of future … money illusion seems to be the driving force behind our results. Another popular hypothesis - inflation as a proxy for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263733
inflation expectations but learns about them from economic outcomes, which are in part the result of the disinflation policy … that under the DOP inflation stay between the levels implied by the CEP and the CP. A novel result is that this holds … irrespective of the initial level of inflation. Moreover, while at high levels of inherited inflation the DOP moves closer to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265530
In this paper we systematically evaluate how central banks respond to inflation deviations from target. We present a … stylized New Keynesian model in which agents' inflation expectations are sensitive to inflation deviations from target. To (re …-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294449