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The goal of the Basle II regulatory formula is to model the unexpected loss on a loan portfolio. The regulatory formula is based on an asymptotic portfolio unexpected default rate estimation that is multiplied by an estimate of the loss given default parameter. This simplification leads to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322310
This paper employs the methodology of Wilson (1997) on Hungarian data to conduct a macro stress test in relation to banks' corporate loan portfolio. First, sector specific models of bankruptcy are estimated, where the bankruptcy frequency is linked to the general health of the economy. Data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322432
We model 1927-1997 U.S. business failure rates using a time series approach based on unobserved components. Clear evidence is found of cyclical behavior in default rates. The cycle has a period of around 10 years. We also detect longer term movements in default probabilities and default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325004
Recent literature has pointed out that information asymmetries may be the reason for the poor performance of structural credit risk models to fit corporate bond data. It is well known in fact that these models lead to a strong understatement of the credit spread terms structure, particularly on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312533
Traditional methods for evaluating corporate credit risk rarely consider the impact of the macro economy on corporate value and performance. We argue that lenders and management can obtain valuable information about the need for and approach to restructuring by decomposing default predictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320364
analysis for Australia, China and India, the impacts of exchange rates on Australia's domestic and outbound travel markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326266
The paper analyses options in case of insolvency. Although insolvency plans empirically are very successful, they are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300002
-liquidation insolvency proceedings, usually referred to as reorganization. Using the ECJ case law on the Directive, I conclude that although … capital do not present an insurmountable hurdle to the adoption of rational corporate insolvency law. As a side note, I also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322155
A personal bankruptcy law that allows for a "fresh start" after bankruptcy reduces the individual risk involved in entrepreneurial activity. On the other hand, as risk shifts to creditors who recover less of their credit after a debtor's bankruptcy, lenders may charge higher interest rates or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601000
Sanierungswege, z. B. das eigenverwaltete Schutzschirmverfahren vor der Insolvenz und die Eigenverwaltung während des …With the introduction of the ESUG law, German insolvency legislation was reformed in 2012. It offers new proceedings … for enterprise re-organisation, both before insolvency and between the application for insolvency and the start of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818046