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This paper addresses the estimation of Phillips curve equations for the euro area while employing less stringent … assumptions on the functional correspondence between price inflation, inflation expectations and marginal costs. Expectations are … not assumed to be an unbiased predictor of actual inflation and instead derived from the European Commission’s Consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605165
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260669
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265404
importance of modelling a system that includes the forcing variables as well as the rate of inflation is emphasized. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284235
, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and use direct measures of inflation expectations. The data source is … the Ifo World Economic Survey, which quarterly polls economic experts about their expected future development of inflation … turns out to more relevant for most countries in our sample. (ii) The use of survey data for inflation expectations yields a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261432
hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272966
policy literature. The extent to which these firms adjust their prices to lagged inflation has been taken as fixed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295244
hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278020
policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation … of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or … evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. (Here I give particular attention to the implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940718
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth? describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276419