Informationally efficient prices are a necessary requirement for optimal resource allocation in the real estate market. Prices are informationally efficient if they reflect buildings' benefit to marginal buyers, thereby taking account of all available information on future market development....

The environment for investment in housing construction has changed drastically. Rising interest rates and construction costs are leading to a signifi cant decline in investment activity. This will exacerbate the shortage on the housing market, as refugees from Ukraine also require housing on a...

Das Bauvolumen wird in diesem Jahr einen Wert von knapp 230 Mrd. Euro erreichen - ein Minus von annähernd 3% gegenüber 2004. Der Preisanstieg dürfte mit rund 1,5 % etwas stärker als in den Vorjahren ausfallen; das reale Bauvolumen wird somit um gut 4% schrumpfen. Während die Entwicklung in...

This study develops a new monthly euro Area‐wide Leading Indicator (ALI) for the euro area business cycle. It derives the composite ALI by applying a deviation cycle methodology with a one‐sided band pass filter and choosing nine leading series. Our main findings are that i) the applied...